A new survey conducted by Global Info Analytics has revealed that former President, John Dramani Mahama, remains the preferred presidential choice going into the 2024 general elections.
According to the survey, 53 percent of respondents wanted John Mahama’s return whereas only 30 precent preferred Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia should he be elected as the NPPs candidate.
A similar survey conducted in January this year showed 38 and 43 percent for Bawumia and Mahama respectively.
Per the new report, the figure for the Vice President dropped by eight percent while that of the National Democratic Congress’ (NDC) Mr. Mahama, increased by ten percentage points.
In terms of the NPP primaries, Vice President, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, stands tall among his contenders, although he was followed closely by Alan Kyeremanten.
For the NDC, Mr. Mahama remains the most preferred candidate for the party.
Sampling dynamics
34 constituencies that were previously selected under a convenient sample were repeated for purposes of establishing a polling trend.
An additional 34 constituencies were selected using random sampling.
The previous constituencies polled in January were excluded prior to running the random simulation model to select the constituencies.
Thus, giving the remaining 241 constituencies an equal chance of selection.
The 2020 Electoral Commission’s voters’ register was used to allocate samples.
Allocation of interviews was based on the total registered voters in the constituencies relative to the 68 constituencies selected.
For each constituency selected, the location for the interview was also selected randomly from three Electoral areas of the constituency.
Voters older than 16 years were interviewed as part of the poll.
