Research firm Global InfoAnalytics has released its latest research findings for the month of October, predicting 51.1% lewd for former President John Dramani Mahama.
Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia trails at 37.3%, the outcome of the poll said.
The poll disclosed that Mahama is in the lead with 51.1% of the committed voters, while Bawumia trails with 37.3%.
Independent candidates Alan Kwadwo Kyeremanten (AKK) and Nana Kwame Bediako (NKB) polled 4.1% and 6.2%, respectively.
The other candidates secured 1.3%.
According to Global InfoAnalytics, Mr. Mahama still leads with 49.3% compared to Bawumia’s 35.9% under the unweighted likely voters’ model.
It explained that there was voter apathy, which is a challenge for the NPP.
Per the results of the poll, 16% of potential non-voters identified as NPP supporters.
By contrast, the NDC had only 3% of its supporters in this category.
Floating voters and those who declined to disclose their affiliations represent 38% and 39%, respectively, of those who say they will not vote.
The poll further revealed that the NDC holds a key advantage over Bawumia among floating voters, leading by a substantial 31-point margin (54% to 23%) and a further 18-point lead among voters who refused to disclose their party affiliations.
Aside from that, Mahama has seen a growing edge among first-time voters, leading Bawumia by 46% to 38%, an improvement from a tied result in July 2024.
Meanwhile, there is a worrying trend for Vice President Bawumia as the poll identified a decline in support among Muslim voters, a key demographic for his campaign, with his backing in this group dropping by nearly 4% between July and October 2024.
The poll also reveals shifts among voters who supported President Nana Akufo-Addo in 2020. While 70% of those voters remain loyal to Bawumia, 19% have switched to Mahama, with 5% each moving to Kyeremanten and Bediako. In key regions like Greater Accra and Central, 20% and 37% of 2020 NPP voters have shifted their support to Mahama.
In terms of regional dominance, Mahama leads in 12 regions, adding the Bono region to his column since the July poll. He now commands Greater Accra, Central, Western, Western North, Bono, Bono East, Northern, Savannah, Upper East, Upper West, Oti, and Volta regions. Bawumia, on the other hand, leads in the Ashanti, Eastern, Ahafo, and North East regions.
Nana Kwame Bediako and Alan Kyeremanten are emerging as significant contenders, especially in the Eastern and Ashanti regions, where their combined presence is eroding Bawumia’s dominance. In the Ashanti region, where the NPP aims to secure 85% of the vote, Bawumia remains at 66%, with Mahama at 22%, Bediako at 7%, and Kyeremanten at 4%.
Mahama is also outperforming his party’s parliamentary candidates in 56 of the 111 constituencies surveyed, while Bawumia trails his candidates in 79 constituencies, reflecting the potential impact of Kyeremanten and Bediako on the ruling party’s fortunes.
The poll underscores the central issues influencing voters ahead of the December elections: the economy, jobs, and education.
The economy remains the top concern, with 70% of respondents citing it as their primary issue, followed by jobs (62%), and education (48%). Voters are also influenced by the current economic conditions, with 55% highlighting them as a key factor, followed by party performance (40%), candidate credibility (34%), and party manifestos (28%).
By: Rainbowradioonline.com/Ghana
